On Thursday, the National Peruvian Institute of Statistics
and Information announced
that the Peruvian economy grew by 3% in September. This strong GDP growth was driven
by the outstanding performance in the mining and hydrocarbons sectors, which
crew by 10.86%, its highest growth so far this year. Central Reserve Bank
president Julio Velarde added that it’s possible that the economy actually grew
by 3.1 or 3.2%, but that will depend on information to be released on November
15th.
Nonetheless, BBVA
Research published a report warning that unless mining investment in Peru
is quickly restarted, the country’s mining sector will start losing its
momentum as early as 2018. The study’s authors, Yalina Crispin and Francisco
Grippa, explained that the large mining projects in Peru are entering the final
phases of construction, and in the short term, there are no plans for new
projects.
They added, “Mining is an important and productive sector
for Peru, as it is a source of investment and adequate employment. Also as a
source of fiscal revenue.” The BBVA report noted that, for the years 2015
through 2017, the mining sector will contribute 1 point towards Peru’s GDP
growth. This steady growth in the Peruvian mining sector will be driven by
increasing production, not a change in copper and mineral prices.
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