The Chilean business journal Diario
Financiero spoke with Guillermo Arbe, the head of economic analysis for
Scotiabank Peru about the recent fall in investment in the Peruvian mining
industry. He said that, “There is a sense of disorder in the political arena
that worries businesspeople.”
He believes that that the cause of the slowdown in
investment has been a loss of confidence on the part of private investors in
the Peruvian mining industry and the government’s support for it. Thankfully,
according to Arbe, the industry has put its worst days behind it, and will
recover strongly on the back of a large infrastructure plan, creating a
virtuous cycle to stimulate the country’s mining industry.
Kevin S. Becker, executive director of Deloitte Corporate
Finance in Peru, expressed similar confidence, telling Diario Uno that he
believes Peru can match its neighbor, Chile, in terms of mining
competitiveness, become the number one mining country in the region. He
explained that some companies do not want to invest in Chile because of the
scarcity of water in that country.
Nonetheless, Peru must first overcome
the social conflicts that have fatally undermined large-scale mining projects
across the country. The government’s handling of the recent Tía María protests
have destroyed Peruvian President Ollanta Humala’s approval ratings, as just
14% of Peruvians approve of his performance.
Appearing as something of a belated PR campaign for the
Peruvian mining industry, business journal El
Comercio published an article explaining the industry’s importance to the
country. First, the numbers: mining accounts for 50% of the country’s foreign
exchange, 20% of tax revenues, and 11% of GDP. Mining’s role in the country is
totally irreplaceable – agriculture is also a large industry for Peru, but it
does not come close to replacing mining.
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