Peruvian newspaper La Republica released
a poll showing that Peruvian President Ollanta Humala’s approval rating had
dropped by 8 percentage points to just 16%, a new low for the president. The
article explained that the lackluster support for the country’s president is
due to his poor management of the Tía María protests. Nonetheless, the article
notes that the Humala administration has also been beset by corruption scandals
and accusations of illegal spying in addition to the proliferation of
anti-mining social conflicts in the country.
Interestingly, despite Southern Copper’s repeated
explanations that the mining project will use a water desalination plant and
thus have no impact on the area’s local water supplies, the same poll showed
that 59% of respondents were sympathetic to the protesters’ concerns regarding
environmental contamination from the mining project. Clearly, both the Mexican
mining company and the Peruvian government are doing a terrible job explaining
the project to both the local community in Islay Province and to the nation as
a whole.
In related news, Carlos Gálvez, the head of Peru’s main
mining trade association, warned
that social conflicts in the country will likely increase next year as the
presidential and congressional elections will incentivize politicians to foment
anti-mining sentiment. Talking about rural Peru, Gálvez said, “Here everyone is
anti. If you're anti-mining then you're in fashion.”
Our recommendation to Gálvez would be to stop complaining
about politicians acting like opportunists, as one might as well complain about
Argentina and Brazil dominating the continent’s soccer competitions. Instead,
Gálvez should focus his efforts on how to make being pro-mining “in fashion” in
rural Peru.
Despite its unpopularity, the mining sector rebounded
in April, with production growing by 9.25% over the previous year, propping up
the Peruvian economy’s year-to-year growth of just 2.35%.
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