The Colombian oil sector’s great fear is that the dual
threats of depressed oil prices and dwindling reserves will lead to decreased
production, starting as early as this year. The good news for Colombia is that
oil production in the country does not appear to be slowing down any time soon.
According to the Colombian Ministry of Mines and Energy, oil production in the
country for the month of February averaged
1,027,000 barrels of oil per day, approximately the same average as January.
February is the fifth straight month with average oil
production above one million barrels per day. According to Tomás González, the
minister of mines and energy, “The country requires a production of more than
one million barrels per day to give visibility to social projects and to remain
competitive. It is clear that Colombia needs the energy sector to finance
programs for peace, equality, and education, and the National Government and
industry are responding such that these programs can become reality.”
Despite this good news, Bloomberg
reported that the collapse in global oil prices is threatening Colombia’s nascent
ethanol industry. The country’s biofuels federation, Fedebiocombustibles, told
Bloomberg that investors are wary right now of investing in the Colombian
biofuels industry, but now is actually the perfect time. Fedebiocombustibles
president Jorge Bendeck said, “But in our view this is exactly when you should
make the investments. They’ll be cheaper.” The report noted that even the
Colombian state oil company Ecopetrol plans to cut its investments in biofuels,
so it is unclear what the future may bring for this Colombian industry.
Bloomberg
also published a second report on the devaluation of the Colombian peso. For
months, the collapse of the Colombian currency mirrored the collapse in global
oil prices. However, the recent stabilization in oil prices has brought no
relief to the peso: it fell another 1% on Monday to its lowest level in 6
years, more than 2,600 pesos to the dollar. Though this will be a boon to
Colombian industry, it is a big concern to foreign investors eyeing an
investment in Colombia.
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