Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Peruvian political instability rocks currency

Late last week, the Peruvian sol suffered its steepest one-day fall of the last two years, dropping by 1.1%, because of poll results showing the leftist presidential candidate Veronika Mendoza in a tie for second place with Pedro Pablo Kuczynski. Bloomberg noted that Mendoza support toughening environmental regulations, which would undoubtedly affect Peru’s mining-dependent economy.

According to Alfonso Montero, the chief investment officer of Credicorp Capital Colomiba SA, “If Mendoza were president, all of the markets would be overvalued. The best scenario would be Brazil and the worst is Venezuela.” Despite the political uncertainty, Peru’s ETF has been the world’s best-performing ETF, and the Peruvian sol has actually climbed in value in recent months.

In mining-related news, Peruvian police seized a large amount of chemicals destined for an illegal mine in the department of Puno. The police pulled over a truck that had been carrying the illegal mining materials and detained the drivers. Unfortunately, isolated interdictions like this represent just a tiny fraction of the materials that find their way to illegal miners.


Late last week, the Peruvian authorities also carried out a new raid against illegal mining camps in the department of Puno, involving more than 250 police officers specialized in environmental crimes. Like most of the government’s raids, this one resulted in the seizure of much illegal mining equipment and supplies, but no arrests.

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